Following the Ukrainian attack on a college in Starobelsk, Russian strategic analysts describe a shift toward “managed escalation” against Kiev and discuss the broader risks to Europe On May 25, the Russian Foreign Ministry issued a strong statement regarding Ukraine. Condemning the recent strike by Ukrainian forces on a college building and dormitory in Starobelsk which resulted in the deaths of 21 students and many injuries, the ministry warned that the incident was the last straw for Russia and that its “cup of patience has overflowed.” According to the Foreign Ministry, the Russian military will now systematically target defense industry facilities in Kiev. Moscow urged foreigners, including diplomats and representatives of international organizations, to leave the Ukrainian capital  “as soon as possible” and advised civilians to stay away from defense industry facilities. Following the statement, the newspaper Kommersant asked Russian experts to assess the Foreign Ministry’s message.…