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Memphis Grizzlies Draft Lottery Outcomes, Ranked by Probability and Targets
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Memphis Grizzlies Draft Lottery Outcomes, Ranked by Probability and Targets

Memphis Grizzlies On SI·Austin Dobbins·26 days ago
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The Memphis Grizzlies enter the NBA Draft Lottery in a position where movement is realistic, but the most likely outcome still keeps them in the middle of the board. Their range of outcomes could shape whether they swing on a high-upside guard or pivot toward frontcourt stability with their later pick at No. 16. Here is every possible landing spot for Memphis and what each scenario could mean. The Grizzlies have won the tiebreaker and will select 16th in the First Round of the 2026 NBA Draft. (via @NBAPR ) Memphis also has the sixth best odds (9.0%) at landing the #1 pick in the NBA Draft Lottery on May 10th. CAN’T WAIT FOR LOTTERY NIGHT…🍀 pic.twitter.com/bXS0QvcCys — Grizz Lead (@Grizz_Lead) April 20, 2026 10th Overall 0.2% Chance This is the worst-case outcome for Memphis. It would require multiple teams behind them jumping into the top four and pushing them down one spot. 9th Overall 3.9% Chance A slight drop but still within the expected lottery band.…

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