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Total Return Forecasts: Major Asset Classes - May 4, 2026
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Total Return Forecasts: Major Asset Classes - May 4, 2026

Seeking Alpha·James Picerno·28 days ago
#qAtTcofD
#source#chevron#alpha#performance#long#term
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Summary

  • The long-term performance outlook for the Global Market Index edged higher in April.
  • Roughly a third of GMI’s components are projected to generate softer returns relative to their respective results over the past ten years.
  • GMI’s history suggests that the passive benchmark’s performance will be competitive with most active asset-allocation strategies, especially after adjusting for risk, trading costs and taxes.
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The long-term performance outlook for the Global Market Index (GMI) edged higher in April. The current 7%-plus estimate for the benchmark’s annualized return is at the top end of recent forecasts. Relative to the trailing 10-year result, however, GMI is still

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