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U.S. intelligence says Iran can outlast Trump’s Hormuz blockade for months

The Washington Post·Warren P. Strobel, John Hudson, Ellen Nakashima·25 days ago
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Democracy Dies in Darkness

A confidential intelligence community assessment delivered to the White House also finds that Iran retains a substantial missile and drone arsenal.

May 7, 2026 at 11:19 a.m. EDT17 minutes ago

Commandant Thomas Scalabre points at positions of ships in the Strait of Hormuz on a screen at the Maritime Information Cooperation and Awareness Center in Brest, France, on April 27. (Fred Tanneau/AFP/Getty Images)

A confidential CIA analysis delivered to administration policymakers this week concludes that Iran can survive the U.S. naval blockade for at least three to four months before facing more severe economic hardship, four people familiar with the document said, a finding that appears to raise new questions about President Donald Trump’s optimism on ending the war.

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