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Marubeni (TSE: 8002): Sub-9x Earnings, Grain Tariff Overhang, and a Power Infrastructure Business Nobody Is Pricing

DEV Community·Ruslan Averin·28 days ago
#PEDOk2TK
#japan#investing#energy#tariff#trade#risk
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The cheapest of Buffett's five Japanese holdings. A US tariff risk that may be mis-priced. And a 10GW power infrastructure portfolio that markets are largely ignoring. Of Japan's Big Five sogo shosha, Marubeni Corporation is the one that attracts the least attention outside specialist circles — and that obscurity creates the valuation gap. At ¥2,350 per share in May 2026, Marubeni trades at sub-9x forward earnings with a 3.5% dividend yield. That makes it the cheapest of the five on every standard metric. The discount versus Mitsubishi (10x) and Mitsui (9x) is almost entirely explained by one thing: grain tariff exposure via the Gavilon agribusiness in the US Midwest. Our analysis suggests that tariff risk is real but partially overstated — and that the power infrastructure business hiding under Gavilon's noise is dramatically undervalued at current prices. Two Very Different Businesses Under One Roof Agribusiness: the tariff risk everyone is focused on.…

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