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S&P 500 Earnings: Expected Full-Year '26 S&P 500 EPS Growth Was 15.6% On January 1, Now 22.6% As Of May 1
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S&P 500 Earnings: Expected Full-Year '26 S&P 500 EPS Growth Was 15.6% On January 1, Now 22.6% As Of May 1

Seeking Alpha·Brian Gilmartin, CFA·29 days ago
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Home Latest Articles Summary This week’s EPS estimate for Q1 ’26 jumped 11.7% in one week, thanks to the mega-cap tech earnings. Q1 ’27 declined as sell-side analysts now expect a much tougher comp in Q1 ’27 thanks to Q1 ’26 expected results. The energy sector EPS estimate as of May 1, ’26 has understandably rocketed higher, at +46.1%, and is now equal to the tech sector’s +46.2%. The S&P 500 earnings yield (SP EY) has now slipped to 4.75%. Anything below 4.5% looks expensive. As of mid-March ’26, net income for Q1 2’6 was estimated to be around $600 billion, but after 314 S&P 500 companies have reported, the estimate is now $680 billion, or a 13% increase. The difference between this number and the actual S&P 500 EPS growth for Q1 ’26 is probably "explained" by share repurchases. asbe/iStock via Getty Images The above chart from LSEG’s “This Week in Earnings” shows the progression in both sector and S&P 500 EPS growth since Jan 1, ’26.…

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