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Three npm Disasters That Were Predictable (And What the Signals Looked Like)

DEV Community·Pico·about 1 month ago
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Supply chain attacks don't come from nowhere. They exploit structural conditions that existed long before the incident — single maintainers, token concentration, asymmetric blast radius. The conditions are visible. The question is whether anyone is looking. We took three of the most consequential npm supply chain attacks in the last eight years and analyzed each one through proof-of-commitment — behavioral scoring that measures structural resilience, not CVE databases. For each incident, we ran the actual package through the API today, then reconstructed what the signals would have shown before the attack. The results are honest. In some cases, the tool would have flagged the exact vulnerability exploited. In others, the signal was there but below the alarm threshold. We'll show both. Case 1: event-stream (2018) What happened In November 2018, a developer named right9ctrl approached Dominic Tarr, the sole maintainer of event-stream, and offered to take over maintenance of the package.…

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