AI Infrastructure Scarcity is Raising Costs, but AI Usage Will Still Provide Unbeatable ROI Costs will continue to rise, likely a lot, from inescapable scarcity challenges over the next few years. Luckily, AI capabilities will rise faster. Every dollar of AI compute will return 70-400% **more * useful work within two years -- even after scarcity takes its cut.* AI infrastructure is fighting headwinds. Memory prices up 60%. Power grids buckling. Chip manufacturers sold out through 2026 and GPU rentals maxing out. The word "scarcity" dominates every AI infrastructure conversation. And yet: the math still favors investment, decisively. Two Cost Curves, One Critical Distinction AI costs rest on two concepts that people mistakenly conflate: Cost per token -- the raw unit cost of AI compute -- analogous to the price of a gallon of gas. This has dropped ~40-50x per year for the past 5 years [1] [2]. Staggering.…