Every US-Iran negotiation since 1979 follows the same pattern: talks with reformists or technocrats, provisional agreement on economic terms, collapse when it reaches the security apparatus. Trump's announcement today will hit the same structural wall. The IRGC and the Supreme Leader's office don't operate on economic incentives. They're institutionally committed to leverage through asymmetric capacity proxy networks, missile programs, enrichment as bargaining position. Rouhani's team could negotiate JCPOA in 2015 because Obama gave them something to bring home that looked like sanctions relief without dismantling the security infrastructure. Trump's 'maximum pressure' framework never solved the core problem: the people who can actually enforce an agreement in Tehran benefit from the current state of managed hostility.…