The Los Angeles Lakers suffered a brutal 18-point loss in Game 1 of their semifinal series last night, playing without Luka Doncic. That scoreline tells you everything you need to know about how much this team depends on him. Without their franchise cornerstone, they looked undermanned and outclassed, and now a second-round elimination is looking more like a realistic outcome than a worst-case scenario. Doncic has been sidelined with a left calf strain, and the timeline on his return has been murky at best. Over on Kalshi, traders have put real money behind figuring out exactly when he laces up again, and right now the market is splitting pretty sharply between cautious optimism and flat-out doubt. Luka Doncic Next Game Played | Kalshi Market Kalshi Before May 10 | 15% Chance The most immediate window for a Doncic return sits at 15%, covering the possibility that he plays before May 10. That means coming back potentially before Game 4 in the current series.…