Make no mistake about it, when Joe Burrow is healthy, he is 100% an MVP-caliber quarterback. The keyword here, though, is “when.” Since being drafted six years ago in 2020, Burrow has only managed to play three seasons at full health. With no injury in sight for the 2026 season, at least not yet, Kalshi has backed him fully as the favorite to win the MVP at 11%, just ahead of Josh Allen and Lamar Jackson, who both sit with 10%. 2026 NFL MVP Market - Kalshi Joe Burrow 11% Josh Allen 10% Lamar Jackson 10% Justin Herbert 9% Caleb Williams 6% Drake Maye 6% Dak Prescott 6% Matthew Stafford 6% Patrick Mahomes 6% Brock Purdy 5% Burrow played at full strength in the 2021, 2022, and 2024 seasons. He threw for over 4,450 yards and 34+ touchdowns in each of those seasons. His 2024 campaign was his career best, having thrown for 4,918 yards, 43 touchdowns, and just nine interceptions. In both the 2022 and 2024 seasons, Burrow finished in fourth place in MVP voting.…